Third Eye OSINT publishes enlightened commentary on geopolitics. The articles will always reflect a pro-American personal viewpoint, because the author is a loyal citizen of the United States of America. This blog is a wholly-owned project of Alfidi Capital.
Tensions in the Persian Gulf are slightly higher than normal at the moment. The U.S. military withdrawal from Iraq is complete and nature abhors a vacuum. Iran's naval exercises are an effort to buttress the regional influence it has gained in Iraq.
The CNN news item linked above about the Strait threat briefly mentions the relative percentage of GDP the U.S. and Iran commit to their military budgets. That is an amateurish analysis. Relative force arrays and capabilities each side brings to bear in the Strait of Hormuz are much more relevant. Iran's navy cannot match a U.S. naval carrier battle group in a direct confrontation. The last direct U.S.-Iranian naval encounter, Operation Praying Mantis, was a limited engagement but ended in a lopsided victory for the U.S. Iran would thus need to rely upon standoff weapon systems in any effort to neutralize U.S. warships. Iran may possess some number of Sunburn anti-ship missiles or other similar systems. It would thus be imperative for U.S. national reconnaissance efforts to locate all of Iran's potential missile launch platforms and designate them as preplanned targets prior to hostilities. The U.S. has outstanding ISR capabilities; Iran's comparable ISR is questionable, with or without a purloined RQ-170.
The U.S. is a responsible world actor. Its Navy is professional enough to monitor Iran's declared military exercises from international waters without provoking a reaction. Iran is not nearly as mature. Any miscalculation that risks open hostilities is much more likely from Iran, given its economic deprivation and relative weakness, than from the U.S.